FD
FolioDesk Research

ERS Signal, price, entries & cumulative P&L

Research preview · paper only

Each mark is a signal call, BUY, SELL, or no position, recorded at the earnings print, not selected in hindsight. Individual names are close to a coin flip, so Core 16 (the blended book) is the primary view; the per-name views are for inspection. Hover a mark for its inputs and outcome.

🔒Exact wording withheld · shown on request, not published

Basis for the cumulative figure. Two factors, both stated so they can be adjusted for. First, positions are held through the full post-earnings drift, a multi-week effect, rather than the first one or two sessions. Second, the book holds multiple positions concurrently (they overlap), so the figure is per-position notional across concurrent trades, not sequential on a single account. The per-trade effect is unchanged; this is its aggregate under a full-book, full-horizon construction. Figures are gross of costs on a 16-name sample; the statistical detail, including where the effect is marginal, is on the available on request.

Price & signal entries
BUY (long) SELL (short) reported, no position
Cumulative P&L (this name)
FolioDesk Research · ERS v0.1 interactive · Built on the Transcript Alpha study (879 events, 181 transcripts, text scored with a deterministic lexicon approach rather than an LLM, so every number here is reproducible) · Prices adjusted 2018 to 2026, everything measured net of SPY, entered at the first tradable open, ranked against the same quarter's peers · Per-symbol P&L is single-name and noisy by design, the blended 16-name book is where the edge is · Charts: TradingView Lightweight Charts (Apache-2.0) · Research preview, paper trading only. Nothing here is investment advice.